ANALYZING CHART PATTERNS (CONTD)
Patterns on a Chart :
Chart patterns signal to traders that the price of a
security is likely to move in one direction or another when the pattern is
complete.
There are two types of patterns in this area of
technical analysis: reversal and continuation. A reversal pattern signals that
a prior trend will reverse on completion of the pattern. Conversely, a
continuation pattern indicates that the prior trend will continue onward upon
the pattern's completion.
The difficulty in identifying chart patterns and their
subsequent signals is that chart use is not an exact science. In fact, it's
often viewed as more of an art than a science. While there is a general idea
and components to every chart pattern, the price movement does not necessarily
correspond to the pattern suggested by the chart. This should not discourage
potential users of charts - once the basics of charting are understood, the
quality of chart patterns can be enhanced by looking at volume and secondary
indicators.
There are several concepts that need to be understood
before reading about specific chart patterns. The first is a trendline, which
is a line drawn on a chart to signal a level of support or resistance for the
price of the security. Support trendlines are the levels at which prices have
difficulty falling below. Conversely, a resistance trendline illustrates the
level at which prices have a hard time going above. These trendlines can be
constant price levels, rise or fall in the direction of the trend as time goes
on.
Now that we have an understanding of the concepts behind
the use of charts as a trading technique, we can start to explore the many
different patterns used by chartists.
But with the advancement of technology and the increased
popularity of technical analysis, the use of charts has greatly increased,
making them one of, if not the most important tools used by technical traders.
A single chart has the ability to display a significant
amount of information. More conceptually, charts are an illustration of the
struggle between buyers and sellers. While this point is debatable between the
schools of investment like technical, fundamental and efficient market
analysis, technical analysis assumes that:
a) Prices discount everything
b) Prices moves in trends and
c) History repeats itself.
Assuming the above tenets are true, charts can be used
to formulate trading signals and can even be the only tool a trader utilizes.
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