Friday, January 30, 2015

HAVE JOYOUS WEEK END











 TRADING TIPS FOR BEGINNERS.

Do not expect to become an expert day trader right away. It takes considerable time, practice and effort to learn the ropes.

Paper trade or use a simulated trading Web site to practice your trading techniques before you use your own "real" money.

Eliminate the fear of losing because "scared" money rarely profits.

Always limit your losses - use stop orders.

Learn from your losses - take advantage of each loss to improve your knowledge of the market.

Never allow large profits to turn into losses. Consider selling if the market moves against you by about 25% or so from your peak profit point.

If the markets on a given day are not performing or reacting the way you expected, it is best to simply get out.

Never add to a losing position. It is a prescription for disaster.

Try to predict the general direction of a stock price but do not try to pick tops and bottoms. You will rarely succeed in accomplishing this.

Remember that standing aside is a position and often the best one to take if you cannot form an opinion as to where the market is heading on a given day.

The key difference between winning and losing day traders is the ability to exercise discipline to avoid mistakes or bad trading tactics.

You must subordinate your will to the will of the market. The market is always right.

Always keep records of your trading results and analyse the results.

Good day traders generally sell into good news and buy on bad news.

Patience, perseverance, determination and a rational trading plan are the key attributes of a successful day trader.

Never get emotionally involved with your trades as emotions often work against you.

Do not try to profit on every trade. It is the total profit you make that matters not the number of individual wins.

Learn when you can rely on instinct as opposed to analysis.

Don't chase momentum if you are unsure as to the exit point. 

Assume the market will reverse itself as soon as you open a position.

Be flexible. Remember that different strategies suit different days and different stocks.

Decide each day how much risk you are willing to take and stick to your decision.

Access to timely information and fast execution of trades is essential to day trade successfully. Subscribe to a good financial information service and open an account with a Direct Access Trading firm or an online broker that caters to day traders.

Do not try to focus on too many stocks at once. Limit your focus to a manageable number.

Always think positive no matter how much you lose. Accept your losses gracefully, try to learn from them and move on.

If you do not find day trading fun or find it too stressful you will not likely be successful. Try some other activity.





NIFTY FUTURES UPDATE & TODAY'S FUNDAMENTALS (JAN 30)




Yesterday, Nifty Futures as predicted 
in early market hours after having 
traded above our mentioned level, 
reached all our targets exactly near closing.



A GAP UP OPENING EXPECTED TODAY
What else you want friends?
Today if opened and sustained 
above 8976 for 30 minutes
watch a hike upto 9004 – 19 – 34  

Suppose if cuts and sustains 
below 8971 for 30 minutes
see a slide upto 8949-39

INTRADAY RESISTANCES @ 9005 – 20 – 35   
INTRADAY SUPPORTS   @ 8948 – 38   

Warning 
The levels mentioned above are applicable 
in normal opening only

Trade very carefully with the above
mentioned time and levels.

ALL THE VERY BEST

(By the time this post was updated
S&P CNX Nifty Futures was trading @ 9017)

For your remembrance

At present 11 GAPS in total below current level:
8784, 8742, 8579, 8536, 8320, 8142,
7947, 7818, 7592, 7044 and 6887
And the million dollar question is……
Whether all these would be filled
before 10,000 or not?







இன்றைய சந்தை அடிப்படை (JAN 30)

இந்தியநேரப்படி இன்று பிற்பகல் 3:30 மணிக்கு 
யூரோ நாணயத்தை பாதிக்கும்படி வெளியாகும் 
ஜனவரி மாதத்து CPI, வருடாந்திர Core CPI;
மாலை 4:00 மணிக்கும் 5:00 மணிக்கும் 
முறையே டாலருக்கு எதிரான இந்திய ரூபாயை 
பாதிக்கும்படி வெளியாகும் Federal Fiscal Deficit 
மற்றும் அந்நியச் செலாவணிக் கையிருப்பு;

மாலை 7:00 மணிக்கு அமெரிக்க டாலர் 
குறியீட்டை நேரடியாக பாதிக்கும்படி வெளியாகும் 
காலாண்டு GDP மற்றும் GDP Price Index;
தொடர்ந்து வெளியாகும் கென்னடா நாட்டு GDP தகவல்;

போன்ற பல முக்கியச் செய்திகள் வரவிருப்பதால்...
இன்று கச்சா எண்ணெய், தங்கம், வெள்ளி, 
காப்பர், நிக்கல் மற்றும் இயற்கை எரிவாயு 
போன்ற கமாடிட்டிகளில் கவனமாக இருக்க வேண்டிய நேரம்...

3:30 4:30 PM; 5:00 5:30; 6:50 7:30 PM;


வெல்க அன்பு நெஞ்சங்களே!  












DISCLAIMER 
THE RECOMMENDATIONS MADE HERE DO NOT CONSTITUTE AND OFFER TO SELL OF A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY OF THE SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OF ANY OTHER INSTRUMENTS WHATSOEVER MENTIONED. NO REPRESENTATIONS CAN BE MADE THAT THE RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED WILL BE PROFITABLE OF THAT THEY WILL NOT RESULT IN LOSSES. READERS USING THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR ACTIONS. SURFING OR USING ‘tradersharmony.blogspot.com' DEEMS THAT THE SURFER ACCEPTS AND ACKNOWLEDGES THE DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES.THE INFORMATION PUBLISHED ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIVE PURPOSE ONLY AND THE USER/READERS SHOULD TAKE ADVICE OF HIS/HER ADVISER BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION FOR BUYING, SELLING OR OTHERWISE DEALING WITH SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OR ANY OTHER INSTRUMENT WHATSOEVER.







Thursday, January 29, 2015

HAVE A CHARMING THURSDAY









ELLIOT WAVES BASIC (Contd)


Three Guidelines

There are numerous guidelines, but this article will focus on three key guidelines. In contrast to rules, guidelines should hold true most of the time, not necessarily all of the time.

Guideline 1: When Wave 3 is the longest impulse wave, Wave 5 will approximately equal Wave 1.

Guideline 2: The forms for Wave 2 and Wave 4 will alternate. If Wave 2 is a sharp correction, Wave 4 will be a flat correction. If Wave 2 is flat, Wave 4 will be sharp.

Guideline 3: After a 5-wave impulse advance, corrections (abc) usually end in the area of prior Wave 4 low.














The first guideline is useful for targeting the end of Wave 5. Even though Wave 5 could be longer than Wave 3 and Wave 3 could still be longer than Wave 1, chartists can make initial Wave 5 projections once Wave 4 ends. In a larger uptrend, chartists simply apply the length of Wave 1 (percentage change) to the low of Wave 4 for an upside target. The opposite is true for a 5-wave decline. The percentage decline in Wave 1 would be applied to the high of Wave 4 for a Wave 5 estimate.

The guideline of alternation (2) is useful for determining the time of correction for Wave 4. After a sharp decline for Wave 2, chartists can expect a relatively flat correction for Wave 4. If Wave 2 is relatively flat, then chartists can expect a relatively sharp Wave 4. In practice, Wave 2 tends to be a rather sharp wave that retraces a large portion of Wave 1. Wave 4 comes after an extended Wave 3. This Wave 4 marks more of a consolidation that lays the groundwork for a Wave 5 trend resumption.

The third guideline is useful for estimating the end of a Wave II correction after a Wave I advance. Waves I and II are the larger degree waves. Waves 1-2-3-4-5 are lesser degree waves within Wave I. Once the Wave II correction unfolds, chartists can estimate its end by looking at the end of the prior wave 4 (lesser degree wave 4). In a larger degree uptrend, Wave II would be expected to bottom near the low of lesser degree Wave 4. In a larger degree downtrend, Wave II would be expected to peak near the high of lesser degree Wave 4.

Conclusions
Even though this article just scratches the surface of Elliott Wave Theory, chartists can greatly improve their counting by applying the three rules and three guidelines listed. Elliott Wave counts start with a process of elimination. Apply the rules for the first count attempt and then the guidelines on the second. Eliminating bogus counts paves the way to a more accurate count. Even with accurate counts, chartists will still need to re-evaluate and adjust counts as new price information emerges. It is just the nature of the beast.




NIFTY FUTURES UPDATES & TODAY'S FUNDAMENTALS (JAN 29)




Yesterday, Nifty Futures as predicted in early 
market hours within 45 minutes, 
in morning session, having traded above 
our mentioned level, reaches our targets 
exactly and after 12:30 PM it has traded below 
our mentioned level of 8916 for 45 minutes
 and reached the downside target too!
What else you want friends?


In normal opening, today if sustains above 
8885 for 30 minutes
watch a hike upto 8915 - 30

Suppose if cuts and sustains 
below 8884 for 30 minutes
see a slide upto 8862 – 53

INTRADAY RESISTANCES @ 8918 – 32 – 47 
INTRADAY SUPPORTS   @ 8860 – 45 


Warning
The levels mentioned above are 
applicable in normal opening only

Trade very carefully with the above
mentioned time and levels.


ALL THE VERY BEST


(By the time this post was updated
S&P CNX Nifty Futures was trading @ 8947)




இன்றைய சந்தை அடிப்படை (JAN 29)

இந்தியநேரப்படி இன்று நள்ளிரவு 12:30 க்கு 
வெளியான FOMC statement;
பின்னிரவு 1:30 க்கு நியூசிலாந்து வங்கியின் வட்டி 
விகித முடிவுகள் மற்றும் RBNZ Statement;
போன்ற தகவல்கள் நம் சந்தை திறப்பில் சற்றே 
பாதிப்பை ஏற்படுத்தவல்ல செய்திகளாகும்!
  
பிற்பகல் 2:25 மணிக்கு யூரோ நாணயத்தை 
பாதிக்கும்படி வெளியாகும் 
German Unemployment Change;

அமெரிக்க டாலர் குறியீட்டை நேரடியாக பாதிக்கும்படி 
இரவு 8:30க்கும் வெளியாகும்
டிசம்பர் மாதத்து Pending Home Sales;

தொடர்ந்து 9:00 மணிக்கு இயற்கை எரிவாயு கையிருப்பு
போன்ற முக்கியச் செய்திகள் வரவிருப்பதால்  
இன்று நிஃப்டி, கச்சா எண்ணெய், தங்கம், 
வெள்ளி, காப்பர், நிக்கல் மற்றும் 
இயற்கை எரிவாயு போன்ற கமாடிட்டிகளில் 
கவனமாக இருக்க வேண்டிய நேரம்...

10:00 11:00 AM; 2:15 2:45 PM; 
6:50 7:30 PM; 8:20 9:00 PM


வெல்க அன்பு நெஞ்சங்களே!  















DISCLAIMER 
THE RECOMMENDATIONS MADE HERE DO NOT CONSTITUTE AND OFFER TO SELL OF A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY OF THE SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OF ANY OTHER INSTRUMENTS WHATSOEVER MENTIONED. NO REPRESENTATIONS CAN BE MADE THAT THE RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED WILL BE PROFITABLE OF THAT THEY WILL NOT RESULT IN LOSSES. READERS USING THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR ACTIONS. SURFING OR USING ‘tradersharmony.blogspot.com' DEEMS THAT THE SURFER ACCEPTS AND ACKNOWLEDGES THE DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES.THE INFORMATION PUBLISHED ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIVE PURPOSE ONLY AND THE USER/READERS SHOULD TAKE ADVICE OF HIS/HER ADVISER BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION FOR BUYING, SELLING OR OTHERWISE DEALING WITH SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OR ANY OTHER INSTRUMENT WHATSOEVER.







Wednesday, January 28, 2015

HAVE A MARVELOUS WEDNESDAY











ELLIOTT WAVE BASICS (Contd)


Fractal Nature

Elliott Wave is fractal. This means that wave structure for the GrandSuper Cycle is the same as for the minuette. No matter how big or small the wave degree, impulse waves take on a 5-wave sequence and corrective waves take on a 3-wave sequence. Any impulse wave subdivides into 5 smaller waves. Any corrective wave subdivides into three smaller waves. The charts below show the fractal nature of Elliott Wave in action.


Three Rules

Believe it or not, there are only three rules when it comes to interpreting Elliott Wave. There are many guidelines, but only three HARD rules. These are unbreakable. Guidelines, on the other hand, are bendable and subject to interpretation. Furthermore, these rules only apply to a 5-wave impulse sequence. Correction, which are much more complicated, are given more leeway when it comes to interpretation.

Rule 1: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1.
Rule 2: Wave 3 can never be the shortest of the three impulse waves.
Rule 3: Wave 4 can never overlap Wave 1

Wave 2 cannot move below the low of Wave 1. A break below this low would call for a re-count. Even though Wave 3 is typically the longest of the three impulse waves, there is a specific rule that it cannot be the shortest. 1 or 5 can be longer than Wave 3, but both cannot be longer than Wave 3. It is probably best to use percentages or log scales when measuring Wave length. Elliott Wave indicates that Wave 3 must exceed the high of Wave 1. Failure to exceed this high would call for a re-count. Impulse moves are all about making progress. Failure to exceed the high of Wave 2 would not be making progress. The third, and final rule, is that Wave 4 cannot overlap Wave 1, which means the low of Wave 4 cannot exceed the high of Wave 1. Such a violation would call for a re-count.

                                                                                                                                      (to be contd)



NIFTY FUTURES UPDATES & TODAY'S FUNDAMENTALS (JAN 28)




Yesterday, Nifty Futures as predicted 
in early market hours perfectly made a GAP UP 
opening and after filling the gap within 
15 minutes and having traded 
above our mentioned level, 
it reaches our targets exactly!
Hope you all noticed it!


In normal opening, today if sustains 
below 8916 for 45 minutes
watch a slide upto 8893 – 82

Suppose if cuts and sustains 
above 8917 for 45 minutes
see a hike upto 8936-48

INTRADAY RESISTANCES @ 8937 – 50
INTRADAY SUPPORTS   @ 8890 – 80 

Warning: The levels mentioned above are applicable 
in normal opening only

Trade very carefully with the above
mentioned time and levels.

ALL THE VERY BEST

For your remembrance

From JAN 20 2015 Nifty is closing at 
record highs continuously….
Yesterday (JAN 27) is the 5th day..!
Will it hit a ‘sixer’ tomorrow?

Anyway now 11 GAPS in total below current level:
8784, 8742, 8579, 8536, 8320, 8142,
7947, 7818, 7592, 7044 and 6887
And the million dollar question is……
Whether all these would be filled
before 10,000 or not?

(By the time this post was updated
S&P CNX Nifty Futures was trading @ 8965)





இன்றைய சந்தை அடிப்படை (JAN 28)

இன்றைய சந்தை அடிப்படையாக இரு வேறு 
முக்கியச் செய்திகள் இடம் பெறவிருக்கின்றன!

முதலாவதாக பிற்பகல் இரண்டு மணிக்கு 
வெளியாகும் FOMC மீட்டிங் மற்றும் Fed நிதி 
இலக்கு மதிப்பு.
இது அமெரிக்க டாலர் குறியீடு 
மற்றும் கச்சா எண்ணெய் நகர்வை 
நேரடியாக பாதிக்கவல்லது!

இரண்டாவதாக நியூசிலாந்து டாலரை 
பாதிக்கும்படி வெளியாகும் RBNZ Rate Statement 
மற்றும் அதன் வட்டி விகித முடிவுகள்!
ஆக இன்று கச்சா எண்ணெய், தங்கம், வெள்ளி, 
காப்பர், நிக்கல் மற்றும் இயற்கை எரிவாயு 
போன்ற கமாடிட்டிகளில் கவனமாக இருக்க வேண்டிய நேரம்...


1:50 2:30 PM and 3:00 3:30 PM









DISCLAIMER 
THE RECOMMENDATIONS MADE HERE DO NOT CONSTITUTE AND OFFER TO SELL OF A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY OF THE SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OF ANY OTHER INSTRUMENTS WHATSOEVER MENTIONED. NO REPRESENTATIONS CAN BE MADE THAT THE RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED WILL BE PROFITABLE OF THAT THEY WILL NOT RESULT IN LOSSES. READERS USING THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR ACTIONS. SURFING OR USING ‘tradersharmony.blogspot.com' DEEMS THAT THE SURFER ACCEPTS AND ACKNOWLEDGES THE DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES.THE INFORMATION PUBLISHED ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIVE PURPOSE ONLY AND THE USER/READERS SHOULD TAKE ADVICE OF HIS/HER ADVISER BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION FOR BUYING, SELLING OR OTHERWISE DEALING WITH SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OR ANY OTHER INSTRUMENT WHATSOEVER.





Tuesday, January 27, 2015

HAVE A TERRIFIC TUESDAY









ELLIOTT WAVE BASICS (Contd)

Basic Sequence

There are two types of waves: impulse and corrective
Impulse waves move in the direction of the larger degree wave. When the larger degree wave is up, advancing waves are impulsive and declining waves are corrective. 
When the larger degree wave is down, impulse waves are down and corrective waves are up. Impulse waves, also called motive waves, move with the bigger trend or larger degree wave. 
Corrective waves move against the larger degree wave.


The chart above shows a rising 5-wave sequence. The entire wave is up as it moves from the lower left to the upper right of the chart. Waves 1,3 and 5 are impulse waves because they move with the trend. Waves 2 and 4 are corrective waves because they move against this bigger trend. A basic impulse advance forms a 5-wave sequence.


A basic corrective wave forms with three waves, typically a, b and c. The chart below shows an abc corrective sequence. Notice that waves a and c are impulse waves (green). This is because they are in the direction of the larger degree wave. This entire move is clearly down, which represents the larger degree wave. Waves a and c move with the larger degree wave and are therefore impulse waves. Wave b, on the other hand, moves against the larger degree wave and is a corrective wave (red).


Combining a basic 5 wave impulse sequence with a basic 3 wave corrective sequence yields a complete Elliott Wave sequence, which is a total of 8 waves. According to Elliott, this complete sequence is divided into two distinct phases: the impulse phase and the corrective phase. The abc corrective phase represents a correction of the larger impulse phase.



These 8-wave charts show two larger degree waves (I and II) as well as the lesser degree waves within these larger degree waves. Waves 1-2-3-4-5 are one lesser degree than Wave I. By extension, Wave I is one larger degree than Waves 1-2-3-4-5. Waves a-b-c are one lesser degree than Wave II.


                                                                                                                                 (to be contd)




NIFTY FUTURES UPDATE & TODAY'S FUNDAMENTALS (JAN 27)




Last Friday, Nifty Futures skipped all the levels
 because of the big gap up opening 
(that too predicted in the early 
market hours in the write-up!)


 A GAP UP OPENING EXPECTED TODAY

In normal opening, today if sustains 
below 8851 for 30 minutes
watch a slide upto  8824 – 13

Suppose if cuts and sustains 
above 8852 for 45 minutes
see a hike upto 8872-82

INTRADAY RESISTANCES @ 8873 – 85 - 8918-40
INTRADAY SUPPORTS   @ 8820 – 10  

Warning
The levels mentioned above are applicable
 in normal opening only

Trade very carefully with the above
mentioned time and levels.

ALL THE VERY BEST

For your remembrance

Now 11 GAPS in total below current level:
8784, 8742, 8579, 8536, 8320, 8142,
7947, 7818, 7592, 7044 and 6887
And the million dollar question is……
Whether all these would be filled
before 10,000 or not?

(By the time this post was updated
S&P CNX Nifty Futures was trading @ 8932)








இன்றைய சந்தை அடிப்படை (JAN 27)

இந்தியநேரப்படி இன்று பிற்பகல் 3:00 மணிக்கு 
GBP நாணயத்தை பாதிக்கும்படி வெளியாகும் 
GDP (YoY and QoQ) தகவல்கள்;

அமெரிக்க டாலர் குறியீட்டை நேரடியாக பாதிக்கும்படி 
மாலை 7:00 மணிக்கும், இரவு 8:30க்கும் 
முறையே வெளியாகும் டிசம்பர் மாதத்து 
Core Durable Goods (MoM) 
மற்றும் CB Consumer Confidence, New Home Sales;

என்று சில முக்கியச் செய்திகள் வரவிருப்பதால்  
இன்று கச்சா எண்ணெய், தங்கம், வெள்ளி, 
காப்பர், நிக்கல் மற்றும் இயற்கை எரிவாயு 
போன்ற கமாடிட்டிகளில் கவனமாக 
இருக்க வேண்டிய நேரம்...

3:00 3:30 PM; 6:50 7:30 PM; 8:20 9:00 PM


வெல்க அன்பு நெஞ்சங்களே!  







DISCLAIMER 
THE RECOMMENDATIONS MADE HERE DO NOT CONSTITUTE AND OFFER TO SELL OF A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY OF THE SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OF ANY OTHER INSTRUMENTS WHATSOEVER MENTIONED. NO REPRESENTATIONS CAN BE MADE THAT THE RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED WILL BE PROFITABLE OF THAT THEY WILL NOT RESULT IN LOSSES. READERS USING THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR ACTIONS. SURFING OR USING ‘tradersharmony.blogspot.com' DEEMS THAT THE SURFER ACCEPTS AND ACKNOWLEDGES THE DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES.THE INFORMATION PUBLISHED ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIVE PURPOSE ONLY AND THE USER/READERS SHOULD TAKE ADVICE OF HIS/HER ADVISER BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION FOR BUYING, SELLING OR OTHERWISE DEALING WITH SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OR ANY OTHER INSTRUMENT WHATSOEVER.