ANALYZING CHART PATTERNS: DOUBLE BOTTOM
Double Bottom
This is the opposite chart pattern of the double top as
it signals a reversal of the downtrend into an uptrend. This pattern will
closely resemble the shape of a "W".
Double-bottom pattern
The double bottom is formed when a downtrend sets a new
low in the price movement. This downward move will find support, which prevents
the security from moving lower. Upon finding support, the security will rally
to a new high, which forms the security's resistance point. The next stage of
this pattern is another sell-off that takes the security down to the previous
low. These two support tests form the two bottoms in the chart pattern. But
again, the security finds support and heads back up. The pattern is confirmed
when the price moves above the resistance the security faced on the prior move
up.
Remember that the security needs to break through the
support line to signal a reversal in the downward trend and should be done on
higher volume. As in the double top, do not be surprised if the price returns
to the breakout point to test the new support level in the upward trend.
Price Objective and Adjustments
It's important to get an idea as to the size of the
resulting move once the signal has been formed. In both the double top and
double bottom, the initial price objective can be measured by taking the price
distance between the support and resistance levels or the range that chart
pattern trades.
Often in technical analysis and chart patterns, we're
presented with an ideal chart setup; but in reality the pattern doesn't always
look as perfect as it's supposed to. In double tops and double bottoms one
thing to remember is that the price on the second test does not always need to
reach the same distance as the first test.
Another problem that can occur is the second testing
point, where the top or bottom actually breaks the level that the first top or
bottom test created. If this occurs, it can give a signal that the previous
trend will continue - instead of reverse - as the pattern suggests. However,
don't be too quick to abandon the pattern as it could still materialize.
If the price does, in fact, move above the prior test,
look to see if the move was accompanied by large volume, suggesting a trend
continuation. For example, if on the second test of a double bottom the price
falls below the support line on heavy volume, it is a good sign the downward
trend will continue and not reverse. If the volume is very weak, it could just
be a last attempt to continue the downward trend, but the trend will ultimately
reverse.
The double tops and double bottoms are strong reversal
patterns that can provide trading opportunities. But it is important to be
careful with these patterns as the price can often move either way.
Consequently, it's important that the trade is implemented once the
support/resistance line is broken.
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