Thursday, October 09, 2014

HAVE A DELIGHTFUL THURSDAY














  
The Bottom Line
Successful paper trading does not guarantee that you will have success when you begin trading real money and emotions come into play. But successful paper trading does give the trader confidence that the system they are going to use actually works. Deciding on a system is less important than gaining enough skill so that you are able to make trades without second guessing or doubting the decision.

There is no way to guarantee that a trade will make money. The trader's chances are based on their skill and system of winning and losing. There is no such thing as winning without losing. Professional traders know before they enter a trade that the odds are in their favor or they wouldn't be there. By letting their profits ride and cutting losses short, a trader may lose some battles, but they will win the war. Most traders and investors do the opposite, which is why they never make money.

Traders who win consistently treat trading as a business. While it's not a guarantee that you will make money, having a plan is crucial if you want to become consistently successful and survive in the trading game.




NIFTY FUTURES UPDATES (OCT 09)


Nifty Futures, yesterday exactly as posted in early market hours , made a gap down opening, traded below 7890 for 15 minutes reached our target of 7870 and managed to close @ 7896



A GAP UP OPEN OF 20-25 POINTS EXPECTED

 Today if cuts & trades above 7889 for 15 minutes see an intraday hike upto 7940 and above  7941 for 15 minutes
leads Nifty Futures to 7970-90    

Suppose if breaches 7883 & trades below the level for 15 minutes, it slides upto  7860 and below 7859 for 15 minutes
slides Nifty Futures to 7830

INTRADAY RESISTANCES @ 7890- 7940 – 7971- 98    
INTRADAY SUPPORTS  @  7881 – 7859 - 30

Trade carefully with the time and levels
By the way, pls do remember the GAP formed on 7th OCT yet to be filled @  7982

ALL THE BEST
 (By the time this post was updated S&P CNX Nifty Futures was trading @ 7929 )


இன்றைய சந்தை அடிப்படை 

ECB President Mr. Draghi
இந்திய நேரப்படி இன்று காலை ஆறு மணிக்கும், மாலை நாலரை மணிக்கும் வெளிவர இருக்கும் ஆஸ்திரேலிய வேலைவாய்ப்பு மாற்றங்கள் மற்றும் ஐரோப்பிய சந்தையில் பாதிப்பை ஏற்படுத்தவல்ல வங்கி வட்டி விகித முடிவுகள் முறையே ஆஸ்திரேலிய டாலர் மற்றும் GBP நாணய நகர்வில் குறிப்பிடத்தக்க பாதிப்புகளைக் கொண்டு வருமென தெரிகிறது!
இவை அல்லாது இரவு எட்டு மணிக்கு வெளியாகும் இயற்கை எரிவாயு கையிருப்புத் தகவல், அதைத் தொடர்ந்து எட்டரை மணிக்கு ECB அதிபர் திராஹி அவர்கள் உரை ஆகியன இன்று சந்தையில் முக்கியத்துவம் பெறவல்ல செய்திகளாகும்.

இன்று தங்கம், கச்சாஎண்ணெய், இயற்கை எரிவாயு,
வெள்ளி மற்றும் காப்பர் அதில் கவனமாக செயல்படவேண்டிய நேரம்…

10:00 – 10:45 AM; 4:30 – 5:00 PM; 8:00 – 9:00 PM

வெல்க!













DISCLAIMER 
THE RECOMMENDATIONS MADE HERE DO NOT CONSTITUTE AND OFFER TO SELL OF A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY OF THE SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OF ANY OTHER INSTRUMENTS WHATSOEVER MENTIONED. NO REPRESENTATIONS CAN BE MADE THAT THE RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED WILL BE PROFITABLE OF THAT THEY WILL NOT RESULT IN LOSSES. READERS USING THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR ACTIONS. SURFING OR USING ‘tradersharmony.blogspot.com' DEEMS THAT THE SURFER ACCEPTS AND ACKNOWLEDGES THE DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES.THE INFORMATION PUBLISHED ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIVE PURPOSE ONLY AND THE USER/READERS SHOULD TAKE ADVICE OF HIS/HER ADVISER BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION FOR BUYING, SELLING OR OTHERWISE DEALING WITH SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OR ANY OTHER INSTRUMENT WHATSOEVER.









Wednesday, October 08, 2014

HAVE A GREAT WEDNESDAY









RISK & DIVERSIFICATION: Different Types of Risk

Let's take a look at the two basic types of risk:

Systematic Risk - Systematic risk influences a large number of assets. A significant political event, for example, could affect several of the assets in your portfolio. It is virtually impossible to protect yourself against this type of risk.

Unsystematic Risk - Unsystematic risk is sometimes referred to as "specific risk". This kind of risk affects a very small number of assets. An example is news that affects a specific stock such as a sudden strike by employees. Diversification is the only way to protect yourself from unsystematic risk. (We will discuss diversification later in this tutorial).

Now that we've determined the fundamental types of risk, let's look at more specific types of risk, particularly when we talk about stocks and bonds.

Credit or Default Risk - Credit risk is the risk that a company or individual will be unable to pay the contractual interest or principal on its debt obligations. This type of risk is of particular concern to investors who hold bonds in their portfolios. Government bonds, especially those issued by the federal government, have the least amount of default risk and the lowest returns, while corporate bonds tend to have the highest amount of default risk but also higher interest rates. Bonds with a lower chance of default are considered to be investment grade, while bonds with higher chances are considered to be junk bonds. Bond rating services, such as Moody's, allows investors to determine which bonds are investment-grade, and which bonds are junk. (To read more, see Junk Bonds: Everything You Need To Know, What Is A Corporate Credit Rating and Corporate Bonds: An Introduction To Credit Risk.)

Country Risk - Country risk refers to the risk that a country won't be able to honor its financial commitments. When a country defaults on its obligations, this can harm the performance of all other financial instruments in that country as well as other countries it has relations with. Country risk applies to stocks, bonds, mutual funds, options and futures that are issued within a particular country. This type of risk is most often seen in emerging markets or countries that have a severe deficit. (For related reading, see What Is An Emerging Market Economy?)

Foreign-Exchange Risk - When investing in foreign countries you must consider the fact that currency exchange rates can change the price of the asset as well. Foreign-exchange risk applies to all financial instruments that are in a currency other than your domestic currency. As an example, if you are a resident of America and invest in some Canadian stock in Canadian dollars, even if the share value appreciates, you may lose money if the Canadian dollar depreciates in relation to the American dollar.

Interest Rate Risk - Interest rate risk is the risk that an investment's value will change as a result of a change in interest rates. This risk affects the value of bonds more directly than stocks. (To learn more, read How Interest Rates Affect The Stock Market.)

Political Risk - Political risk represents the financial risk that a country's government will suddenly change its policies. This is a major reason why developing countries lack foreign investment.

Market Risk - This is the most familiar of all risks. Also referred to as volatility, market risk is the the day-to-day fluctuations in a stock's price. Market risk applies mainly to stocks and options. As a whole, stocks tend to perform well during a bull market and poorly during a bear market - volatility is not so much a cause but an effect of certain market forces. Volatility is a measure of risk because it refers to the behavior, or "temperament", of your investment rather than the reason for this behavior. Because market movement is the reason why people can make money from stocks, volatility is essential for returns, and the more unstable the investment the more chance there is that it will experience a dramatic change in either direction.


As you can see, there are several types of risk that a smart investor should consider and pay careful attention to.


NIFTY FUTURES UPDATES (OCT 08)



Nifty Futures, yesterday exactly as expected, made a gap down opening, breached all the downside targets mentioned in early market hours, unable to fill the gap till the end of the session and closed @ 7892



AGAIN A GAP DOWN OF 25-35 POINTS EXPECTED IN NIFTY FUTURES  

Today if cuts & trades above 7908 for 15 minutes 
see an intraday hike upto 7929 and above  that for 10 minutes
takes Nifty Futures to  7956-77
Suppose if trades below 7890 for 15 minutes, 
it slides upto 7871 – 51

INTRADAY RESISTANCES @ 7908 – 7930–56 & 7980  
INTRADAY SUPPORTS @ 7870 – 50
Trade carefully with the time and levels.

ALL THE BEST


 (By the time this post was updated S&P CNX Nifty Futures was trading @ 7859 )



இன்றைய சந்தை அடிப்படை

இந்திய நேரப்படி இன்று MCX சந்தை முடியும் தருவாயில் இரவு 11:30 ற்கு வெளியாகும் FOMC கூட்ட நிமிடங்கள் கடைசி அரை மணி நேர வர்த்தகத்திலும் நாளைய வர்த்தகத்தின் தொடக்கத்திலும் பொருட்சந்தையை பாதிப்பைக் கொண்டு வருமென எதிர்ப்பார்க்கப்படுகிறது!







DISCLAIMER 
THE RECOMMENDATIONS MADE HERE DO NOT CONSTITUTE AND OFFER TO SELL OF A SOLICITATION TO BUY ANY OF THE SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OF ANY OTHER INSTRUMENTS WHATSOEVER MENTIONED. NO REPRESENTATIONS CAN BE MADE THAT THE RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED WILL BE PROFITABLE OF THAT THEY WILL NOT RESULT IN LOSSES. READERS USING THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN ARE SOLELY RESPONSIBLE FOR THEIR ACTIONS. SURFING OR USING ‘tradersharmony.blogspot.com' DEEMS THAT THE SURFER ACCEPTS AND ACKNOWLEDGES THE DISCLAIMERS AND DISCLOSURES.THE INFORMATION PUBLISHED ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIVE PURPOSE ONLY AND THE USER/READERS SHOULD TAKE ADVICE OF HIS/HER ADVISER BEFORE TAKING ANY DECISION FOR BUYING, SELLING OR OTHERWISE DEALING WITH SECURITIES/COMMODITIES OR ANY OTHER INSTRUMENT WHATSOEVER.